Analyzing the race to the White House

With neither Democratic candidate for president reaching the needed number of delegates to become the party's nominee for president, local bloggers are sifting the metrics for the path to victory.

LIBERAL VIEW: William at Tennessee Free points to an interesting poll of "born again voters" who show an increased willingness to vote Democrat in November and in particular for Hillary Clinton.

Compared to recent presidential elections, the current leanings of the born again constituency have reversed. The new Barna study shows that if the election were to be held today, 40% of all born again adults who are likely to vote in November would choose the Democratic candidate and just 29% would choose the Republican candidate. The remaining 28% are currently not sure whom they would choose, preferring to make their selection on the basis of the candidate than strictly on the basis of his or her party affiliation.

George Barna, whose firm conducted the national survey, indicated that Republicans have an uphill climb with the born again voters. "Given the large percentage of undecided voters, it is possible that the Republican candidate might eventually win a majority of the born again vote," he explained. "However, it will not be easy to win them over. Several factors are operating against the Republican’s prospects in this election, related to both social issues and the personal integrity of several of the candidates."

If the election were held today, and all of the remaining candidates from both parties were on the ballot, the frontrunners among born again voters would be Hillary Clinton (favored by 20% of born again likely voters), Barack Obama (18%) and Mike Huckabee (12%). No other candidate reached double figures. Thirty percent of the born again likely voters said they were still undecided as to who they would choose.

CONSERVATIVE VIEW: Serr8d at Tennessee Free points to a red state / blue state electoral map projecting a loss for Democrats in key states won by Hillary Clinton.

From the New York Times… Tennessee is safe, it seems. Safe from falling for and completely accepting the leftist socialist sorts who would hasten our rush to the “Post-industrial Stone Age”. I for one am not ready for Al Gore’s ‘Little House on the Prairie’ economic model. Which is exactly what we will see if we allow proggtards to socialize this nation.