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Mountain State Predictions

10
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Posted on May 12, 2008 - 4:21pm at Nashville21
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Any guesses on what the turnout is going to be tomorrow in West Virginia?

In 2004, Kerry garnered 326K votes in the general election (375K self-identified Democrats voted). Assuming only those Kerry voters show up, and Hillary's margin is 70-30, she'd net 130 thousand popular votes or so.

No Mas Demográficas Ventaja?

14
vote
Posted on April 22, 2008 - 12:21pm at Post Politics
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Bruce Barry surveys the lay of the land on the day of the Pennsylvania Democratic primary and makes some predictions:

Pennsylvania Prognosticatin’

14
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Posted on April 22, 2008 - 11:08am at Pith In The Wind
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Yikes, is it April 22 already? Seems like just yesterday we were dissecting Iowa caucus results. Where did the time go? And more importantly, how will it shake out tonight? Prediction time!

2008 Democratic Primary = 2000 Election?

14
vote
Posted on April 20, 2008 - 11:58pm at Tennessee Free
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Michael Barone, one of the most astute students of politics in the media, is projecting an awkward situation at the conclusion of the final Democratic primaries:

Barack Obama will be leading in pledged delegates, those elected in primaries and caucuses. Clinton will be leading in popular votes. Obama’s delegate lead will be entirely due to his [...]

2008 Democratic Primary = 2000 Election?

11
vote
Posted on April 20, 2008 - 11:57pm at Appalachian Scribe
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Michael Barone, one of the most astute students of politics in the media, is projecting an awkward situation at the conclusion of the final Democratic primaries:

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